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Sunday 26 August 2018, 21:30 Dacia Arena Full time
1–0
HT 1–0
40% 26% 34%
Home win
39.8%
Draw
25.8%
Away win
34.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Udinese 39.8% 2.51
Draw 25.8% 3.88
Sampdoria 34.4% 2.90

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.2% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.8% 17.14
Over 1.5 80.2% 1.25
Under 1.5 19.8% 5.06
Over 2.5 56.9% 1.76
Under 2.5 43.1% 2.32
Over 3.5 34.5% 2.90
Under 3.5 65.5% 1.53
Over 4.5 17.9% 5.59
Under 4.5 82.1% 1.22

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 60.3% 1.66
No 39.7% 2.52

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Udinese / Draw 65.6% 1.53
Udinese / Sampdoria 74.2% 1.35
Draw / Sampdoria 60.2% 1.66

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.8
6.7
5.2
2.5
0.9
0.3
1
7.3
12.0
8.0
3.8
1.4
0.4
2
6.1
8.7
6.2
2.9
1.0
0.3
3
3.2
4.5
3.2
1.5
0.5
0.2
4
1.2
1.7
1.2
0.6
0.2
0.1
5
0.4
0.5
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Udinese goals. Columns: Sampdoria goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.