Sunday 29 April 2018, 16:00
Luigi Ferraris
Full time
57%
23%
21%
Home win
56.5%
Draw
22.9%
Away win
20.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria | 56.5% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.9% | 4.37 | — | — |
| Cagliari | 20.6% | 4.85 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.9% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.1% | 19.56 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 82.1% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 17.9% | 5.59 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 40.2% | 2.49 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 37.5% | 2.67 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 62.5% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 20.2% | 4.96 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 79.8% | 1.25 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
| No | 41.3% | 2.42 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria / Draw | 79.4% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Sampdoria / Cagliari | 77.1% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Draw / Cagliari | 43.5% | 2.30 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.1
|
4.5
|
2.8
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
8.3
|
10.6
|
5.6
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.8
|
9.9
|
5.6
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.8
|
6.5
|
3.7
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.9
|
3.2
|
1.8
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.1
|
1.3
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2022
Sampdoria
1-2
Cagliari
Oct 2021
Cagliari
3-1
Sampdoria
Mar 2021
Sampdoria
2-2
Cagliari
Nov 2020
Cagliari
2-0
Sampdoria
Jul 2020
Sampdoria
3-0
Cagliari
Dec 2019
Cagliari
4-3
Sampdoria
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.