Saturday 7 April 2018, 21:45
Luigi Ferraris
Full time
50%
28%
22%
Home win
50.3%
Draw
27.6%
Away win
22.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.6% | 3.63 | — | — |
| Genoa | 22.1% | 4.52 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.3% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.7% | 10.33 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 70.2% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 29.8% | 3.36 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 43.4% | 2.30 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 22.4% | 4.46 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 77.6% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.8% | 10.24 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.2% | 1.11 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 47.2% | 2.12 | — | — |
| No | 52.8% | 1.90 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria / Draw | 77.9% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Sampdoria / Genoa | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Draw / Genoa | 49.7% | 2.01 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.7
|
7.4
|
3.7
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
12.7
|
13.0
|
5.6
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
10.1
|
9.2
|
4.2
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.1
|
4.6
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.9
|
1.7
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.6
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2022
Sampdoria
1-0
Genoa
Dec 2021
Genoa
1-3
Sampdoria
Mar 2021
Genoa
1-1
Sampdoria
Nov 2020
Sampdoria
1-1
Genoa
Jul 2020
Sampdoria
1-2
Genoa
Dec 2019
Genoa
0-1
Sampdoria
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.