Tuesday 3 April 2018, 19:30
Luigi Ferraris
Full time
41%
30%
29%
Home win
41.3%
Draw
30.1%
Away win
28.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa | 41.3% | 2.42 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.1% | 3.32 | — | — |
| Cagliari | 28.6% | 3.50 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.5% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.5% | 8.71 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 66.2% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 33.8% | 2.96 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 38.7% | 2.58 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 61.3% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 18.8% | 5.32 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 81.2% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.6% | 13.08 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.4% | 1.08 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 45.6% | 2.19 | — | — |
| No | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa / Draw | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Genoa / Cagliari | 69.9% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Draw / Cagliari | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.5
|
9.8
|
5.3
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
12.5
|
14.0
|
6.5
|
2.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.3
|
8.2
|
4.1
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.4
|
3.4
|
1.7
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.1
|
1.1
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Genoa
3-0
Cagliari
Nov 2025
Cagliari
3-3
Genoa
Mar 2025
Cagliari
1-1
Genoa
Nov 2024
Genoa
2-2
Cagliari
Apr 2024
Genoa
3-0
Cagliari
Nov 2023
Cagliari
2-1
Genoa
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.