Tuesday 3 April 2018, 19:30
Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia
Full time
57%
23%
19%
Home win
57.2%
Draw
23.4%
Away win
19.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta | 57.2% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.4% | 4.27 | — | — |
| Sampdoria | 19.4% | 5.16 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.0% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.0% | 16.66 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 79.5% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 20.5% | 4.89 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 44.1% | 2.27 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 33.6% | 2.98 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 66.4% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 17.2% | 5.81 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 82.8% | 1.21 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 55.1% | 1.81 | — | — |
| No | 44.9% | 2.23 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta / Draw | 80.6% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Atalanta / Sampdoria | 76.6% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / Sampdoria | 42.8% | 2.34 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.0
|
4.9
|
2.8
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
9.6
|
11.1
|
5.4
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.7
|
9.9
|
5.1
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
6.1
|
6.3
|
3.2
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.9
|
3.0
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.1
|
1.1
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2023
Atalanta
2-0
Sampdoria
Aug 2022
Sampdoria
0-2
Atalanta
Feb 2022
Atalanta
4-0
Sampdoria
Oct 2021
Sampdoria
1-3
Atalanta
Feb 2021
Sampdoria
0-2
Atalanta
Oct 2020
Atalanta
1-3
Sampdoria
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.