Sunday 18 March 2018, 13:30
Luigi Ferraris
Full time
31%
26%
43%
Home win
31.0%
Draw
26.2%
Away win
42.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria | 31.0% | 3.22 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.2% | 3.81 | — | — |
| Inter | 42.7% | 2.34 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.5% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.5% | 15.34 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 78.3% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 21.7% | 4.61 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 45.9% | 2.18 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 31.8% | 3.15 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 68.2% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 15.9% | 6.28 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.1% | 1.19 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
| No | 42.1% | 2.37 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria / Draw | 57.3% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Sampdoria / Inter | 73.8% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / Inter | 69.0% | 1.45 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.5
|
8.3
|
7.0
|
3.6
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
| 1 |
6.8
|
12.4
|
9.1
|
4.7
|
1.8
|
0.6
|
| 2 |
4.9
|
7.5
|
5.8
|
3.0
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
| 3 |
2.1
|
3.2
|
2.5
|
1.3
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.7
|
1.0
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2023
Sampdoria
0-0
Inter
Oct 2022
Inter
3-0
Sampdoria
May 2022
Inter
3-0
Sampdoria
Sep 2021
Sampdoria
2-2
Inter
May 2021
Inter
5-1
Sampdoria
Jan 2021
Sampdoria
2-1
Inter
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.