Sunday 15 April 2018, 19:00
Allianz Stadium
Full time
77%
16%
8%
Home win
76.7%
Draw
15.7%
Away win
7.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus | 76.7% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Draw | 15.7% | 6.36 | — | — |
| Sampdoria | 7.6% | 13.23 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.4% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.6% | 21.57 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 82.9% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 17.1% | 5.84 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 61.3% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 38.7% | 2.59 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 39.0% | 2.56 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 61.0% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 21.4% | 4.68 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 78.6% | 1.27 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 45.4% | 2.20 | — | — |
| No | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus / Draw | 92.4% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Juventus / Sampdoria | 84.3% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Draw / Sampdoria | 23.3% | 4.30 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.6
|
2.4
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
10.1
|
7.5
|
2.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
13.1
|
8.8
|
3.0
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
10.9
|
7.3
|
2.5
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
6.8
|
4.6
|
1.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
3.4
|
2.3
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2023
Juventus
4-2
Sampdoria
Aug 2022
Sampdoria
0-0
Juventus
Mar 2022
Sampdoria
1-3
Juventus
Sep 2021
Juventus
3-2
Sampdoria
Jan 2021
Sampdoria
0-2
Juventus
Sep 2020
Juventus
3-0
Sampdoria
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.