Saturday 17 March 2018, 21:45
Stadio Paolo Mazza
Full time
8%
18%
75%
Home win
7.7%
Draw
17.6%
Away win
74.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spal | 7.7% | 13.00 | — | — |
| Draw | 17.6% | 5.68 | — | — |
| Juventus | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.6% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.4% | 15.59 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 77.7% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 22.3% | 4.49 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 53.6% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 46.4% | 2.15 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 31.3% | 3.19 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 68.7% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 15.6% | 6.42 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.4% | 1.18 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 40.0% | 2.50 | — | — |
| No | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spal / Draw | 25.3% | 3.95 | — | — |
| Spal / Juventus | 82.4% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Draw / Juventus | 92.3% | 1.08 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.4
|
12.8
|
14.9
|
11.1
|
6.2
|
2.8
|
| 1 |
3.0
|
8.2
|
8.7
|
6.5
|
3.6
|
1.6
|
| 2 |
1.0
|
2.3
|
2.5
|
1.9
|
1.1
|
0.5
|
| 3 |
0.2
|
0.4
|
0.5
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2020
Spal
1-2
Juventus
Sep 2019
Juventus
2-0
Spal
Apr 2019
Spal
2-1
Juventus
Nov 2018
Juventus
2-0
Spal
Oct 2017
Juventus
4-1
Spal
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.