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Saturday 31 March 2018, 21:45 Allianz Stadium Full time
3–1
HT 1–1
67% 22% 11%
Home win
66.6%
Draw
22.2%
Away win
11.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Juventus 66.6% 1.50
Draw 22.2% 4.51
AC Milan 11.2% 8.93

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.3% 1.10
Under 0.5 8.7% 11.52
Over 1.5 72.1% 1.39
Under 1.5 27.9% 3.59
Over 2.5 45.9% 2.18
Under 2.5 54.1% 1.85
Over 3.5 24.5% 4.08
Under 3.5 75.5% 1.32
Over 4.5 11.1% 9.05
Under 4.5 88.9% 1.12

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 40.3% 2.48
No 59.7% 1.68

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Juventus / Draw 88.8% 1.13
Juventus / AC Milan 77.8% 1.29
Draw / AC Milan 33.4% 2.99

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.7
4.6
1.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
1
14.7
10.2
3.1
0.6
0.1
0.0
2
14.3
9.1
2.9
0.6
0.1
0.0
3
9.0
5.7
1.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
4.2
2.7
0.8
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
1.6
1.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Juventus goals. Columns: AC Milan goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.