Tuesday 17 April 2018, 21:45
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza
Full time
72%
18%
10%
Home win
71.7%
Draw
18.1%
Away win
10.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter | 71.7% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Draw | 18.1% | 5.51 | — | — |
| Cagliari | 10.1% | 9.87 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.9% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.1% | 19.47 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 81.6% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 18.4% | 5.43 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 59.2% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 40.8% | 2.45 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 36.8% | 2.72 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 63.2% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 19.6% | 5.09 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 80.4% | 1.24 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48.4% | 2.06 | — | — |
| No | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter / Draw | 89.9% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Inter / Cagliari | 81.9% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Draw / Cagliari | 28.3% | 3.54 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.1
|
3.0
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
10.2
|
8.6
|
3.1
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.4
|
9.4
|
3.6
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
9.5
|
7.2
|
2.8
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
5.5
|
4.2
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.5
|
1.9
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Inter
3-0
Cagliari
Sep 2025
Cagliari
0-2
Inter
Apr 2025
Inter
3-1
Cagliari
Dec 2024
Cagliari
0-3
Inter
Apr 2024
Inter
2-2
Cagliari
Aug 2023
Cagliari
0-2
Inter
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.