Wednesday 4 April 2018, 19:30
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza
Full time
33%
28%
39%
Home win
32.7%
Draw
28.1%
Away win
39.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan | 32.7% | 3.06 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.1% | 3.56 | — | — |
| Inter | 39.2% | 2.55 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.5% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.5% | 11.80 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 73.3% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 26.7% | 3.74 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 47.2% | 2.12 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 25.6% | 3.91 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 11.7% | 8.53 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 88.3% | 1.13 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
| No | 47.2% | 2.12 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan / Draw | 60.8% | 1.65 | — | — |
| AC Milan / Inter | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Draw / Inter | 67.3% | 1.49 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.5
|
9.7
|
7.0
|
3.2
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
8.6
|
13.4
|
8.5
|
3.8
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
5.7
|
7.6
|
5.2
|
2.3
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
2.3
|
3.1
|
2.1
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.7
|
0.9
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
AC Milan
1-0
Inter
Nov 2025
Inter
0-1
AC Milan
Feb 2025
AC Milan
1-1
Inter
Sep 2024
Inter
1-2
AC Milan
Apr 2024
AC Milan
1-2
Inter
Sep 2023
Inter
5-1
AC Milan
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.