Sunday 22 April 2018, 16:00
Stadio Olimpico
Full time
64%
18%
17%
Home win
64.3%
Draw
18.5%
Away win
17.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio | 64.3% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Draw | 18.5% | 5.41 | — | — |
| Sampdoria | 17.3% | 5.80 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.5% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.5% | 39.26 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 90.1% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 9.9% | 10.11 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 26.1% | 3.84 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 46.3% | 2.16 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 34.2% | 2.92 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 65.8% | 1.52 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 67.4% | 1.48 | — | — |
| No | 32.6% | 3.07 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio / Draw | 82.7% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Lazio / Sampdoria | 81.5% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Draw / Sampdoria | 35.7% | 2.80 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.5
|
2.3
|
1.8
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
5.0
|
7.5
|
4.6
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
6.9
|
9.0
|
5.8
|
2.5
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
5.9
|
7.7
|
5.0
|
2.1
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
3.8
|
4.9
|
3.2
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
1.9
|
2.5
|
1.6
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2023
Lazio
1-0
Sampdoria
Aug 2022
Sampdoria
1-1
Lazio
May 2022
Lazio
2-0
Sampdoria
Dec 2021
Sampdoria
1-3
Lazio
Feb 2021
Lazio
1-0
Sampdoria
Oct 2020
Sampdoria
3-0
Lazio
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.