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Sunday 8 April 2018, 19:00 Dacia Arena Full time
1–2
HT 1–2
25% 22% 52%
Home win
25.4%
Draw
22.4%
Away win
52.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Udinese 25.4% 3.94
Draw 22.4% 4.46
Lazio 52.2% 1.92

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.2% 1.04
Under 0.5 3.8% 26.64
Over 1.5 86.3% 1.16
Under 1.5 13.7% 7.31
Over 2.5 66.8% 1.50
Under 2.5 33.2% 3.01
Over 3.5 45.0% 2.22
Under 3.5 55.0% 1.82
Over 4.5 26.3% 3.80
Under 4.5 73.7% 1.36

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 66.0% 1.52
No 34.0% 2.94

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Udinese / Draw 47.8% 2.09
Udinese / Lazio 77.6% 1.29
Draw / Lazio 74.6% 1.34

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.8
6.0
6.7
4.6
2.4
1.0
1
3.9
9.7
9.4
6.4
3.3
1.3
2
3.1
6.4
6.5
4.4
2.3
0.9
3
1.4
2.9
3.0
2.1
1.1
0.4
4
0.5
1.0
1.1
0.7
0.4
0.2
5
0.1
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Udinese goals. Columns: Lazio goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.