Wednesday 18 April 2018, 21:45
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Full time
35%
24%
40%
Home win
35.3%
Draw
24.2%
Away win
40.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina | 35.3% | 2.83 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.2% | 4.13 | — | — |
| Lazio | 40.5% | 2.47 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.7% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.3% | 23.19 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 84.7% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 15.3% | 6.53 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 63.9% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 36.1% | 2.77 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 41.8% | 2.39 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 23.6% | 4.23 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 65.7% | 1.52 | — | — |
| No | 34.3% | 2.92 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina / Draw | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Fiorentina / Lazio | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw / Lazio | 64.7% | 1.55 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.3
|
5.7
|
5.4
|
3.1
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
| 1 |
5.3
|
10.7
|
8.6
|
4.9
|
2.1
|
0.7
|
| 2 |
4.7
|
8.0
|
6.8
|
3.9
|
1.7
|
0.6
|
| 3 |
2.5
|
4.2
|
3.6
|
2.0
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 4 |
1.0
|
1.7
|
1.4
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.5
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Fiorentina
1-0
Lazio
Jan 2026
Lazio
2-2
Fiorentina
Jan 2025
Lazio
1-2
Fiorentina
Sep 2024
Fiorentina
2-1
Lazio
Feb 2024
Fiorentina
2-1
Lazio
Oct 2023
Lazio
1-0
Fiorentina
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.