Saturday 31 March 2018, 16:00
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Full time
60%
24%
17%
Home win
59.7%
Draw
23.7%
Away win
16.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina | 59.7% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.7% | 4.23 | — | — |
| Crotone | 16.7% | 6.00 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.7% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.3% | 13.76 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 24.0% | 4.17 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 49.0% | 2.04 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 28.9% | 3.46 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 13.9% | 7.19 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 86.1% | 1.16 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.6% | 2.02 | — | — |
| No | 50.4% | 1.98 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina / Draw | 83.3% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Fiorentina / Crotone | 76.3% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / Crotone | 40.3% | 2.48 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.3
|
5.1
|
2.5
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
11.6
|
11.3
|
4.6
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
11.3
|
9.8
|
4.3
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
6.9
|
6.0
|
2.6
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.2
|
2.8
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.2
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2021
Crotone
0-0
Fiorentina
Jan 2021
Fiorentina
2-1
Crotone
Oct 2017
Crotone
2-1
Fiorentina
Mar 2017
Crotone
0-1
Fiorentina
Oct 2016
Fiorentina
1-1
Crotone
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.