Sunday 2 September 2018, 21:30
Luigi Ferraris
Full time
18%
22%
61%
Home win
17.5%
Draw
21.9%
Away win
60.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria | 17.5% | 5.71 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.9% | 4.57 | — | — |
| Napoli | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.8% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.2% | 19.29 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 81.8% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 18.2% | 5.50 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 40.6% | 2.46 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 37.0% | 2.70 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 63.0% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 19.8% | 5.05 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 80.2% | 1.25 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
| No | 43.6% | 2.30 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria / Draw | 39.4% | 2.54 | — | — |
| Sampdoria / Napoli | 78.1% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Draw / Napoli | 82.5% | 1.21 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.2
|
8.9
|
9.7
|
6.7
|
3.4
|
1.4
|
| 1 |
4.1
|
10.3
|
9.9
|
6.8
|
3.5
|
1.4
|
| 2 |
2.4
|
5.0
|
5.1
|
3.5
|
1.8
|
0.7
|
| 3 |
0.8
|
1.7
|
1.7
|
1.2
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jun 2023
Napoli
2-0
Sampdoria
Jan 2023
Sampdoria
0-2
Napoli
Jan 2022
Napoli
1-0
Sampdoria
Sep 2021
Sampdoria
0-4
Napoli
Apr 2021
Sampdoria
0-2
Napoli
Dec 2020
Napoli
2-1
Sampdoria
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.