Saturday 18 August 2018, 21:30
Stadio Olimpico
Full time
33%
24%
44%
Home win
32.8%
Draw
23.5%
Away win
43.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio | 32.8% | 3.05 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.5% | 4.26 | — | — |
| Napoli | 43.7% | 2.29 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.2% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.8% | 26.12 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 86.2% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 13.8% | 7.22 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 66.5% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 33.5% | 2.98 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 44.7% | 2.24 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 26.0% | 3.84 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 67.4% | 1.48 | — | — |
| No | 32.6% | 3.07 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio / Draw | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Lazio / Napoli | 76.5% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / Napoli | 67.2% | 1.49 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.8
|
5.4
|
5.5
|
3.4
|
1.6
|
0.6
|
| 1 |
4.6
|
10.1
|
8.8
|
5.4
|
2.5
|
0.9
|
| 2 |
4.1
|
7.5
|
6.9
|
4.3
|
2.0
|
0.7
|
| 3 |
2.1
|
3.9
|
3.6
|
2.2
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
| 4 |
0.8
|
1.6
|
1.4
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.5
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Napoli
0-2
Lazio
Jan 2026
Lazio
0-2
Napoli
Feb 2025
Lazio
2-2
Napoli
Dec 2024
Napoli
0-1
Lazio
Jan 2024
Lazio
0-0
Napoli
Sep 2023
Napoli
1-2
Lazio
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.