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Sunday 20 May 2018, 21:45 Stadio Olimpico Full time
2–3
HT 2–1
42% 24% 33%
Home win
42.5%
Draw
24.4%
Away win
33.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Lazio 42.5% 2.35
Draw 24.4% 4.11
Inter 33.2% 3.02

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.5% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.5% 22.06
Over 1.5 84.0% 1.19
Under 1.5 16.0% 6.25
Over 2.5 62.8% 1.59
Under 2.5 37.2% 2.69
Over 3.5 40.6% 2.46
Under 3.5 59.4% 1.68
Over 4.5 22.6% 4.42
Under 4.5 77.4% 1.29

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 64.7% 1.55
No 35.3% 2.83

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Lazio / Draw 66.8% 1.50
Lazio / Inter 75.6% 1.32
Draw / Inter 57.5% 1.74

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.5
5.3
4.5
2.2
0.8
0.3
1
6.2
10.8
7.7
3.9
1.5
0.4
2
5.9
8.9
6.7
3.4
1.3
0.4
3
3.4
5.1
3.9
1.9
0.7
0.2
4
1.5
2.2
1.7
0.8
0.3
0.1
5
0.5
0.8
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Lazio goals. Columns: Inter goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.