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Saturday 28 April 2018, 21:45 San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza Full time
2–3
HT 0–1
26% 30% 44%
Home win
26.2%
Draw
29.5%
Away win
44.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Inter 26.2% 3.82
Draw 29.5% 3.39
Juventus 44.3% 2.26

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.9% 1.12
Under 0.5 11.1% 9.01
Over 1.5 67.0% 1.49
Under 1.5 33.0% 3.03
Over 2.5 39.6% 2.52
Under 2.5 60.4% 1.66
Over 3.5 19.5% 5.14
Under 3.5 80.5% 1.24
Over 4.5 8.0% 12.45
Under 4.5 92.0% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 45.8% 2.19
No 54.3% 1.84

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Inter / Draw 55.7% 1.80
Inter / Juventus 70.5% 1.42
Draw / Juventus 73.8% 1.35

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.1
12.8
9.0
3.9
1.3
0.3
1
9.0
13.7
8.5
3.8
1.2
0.3
2
4.7
6.2
4.1
1.8
0.6
0.2
3
1.5
2.0
1.3
0.6
0.2
0.0
4
0.4
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Inter goals. Columns: Juventus goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.