Sunday 22 April 2018, 21:45
Allianz Stadium
Full time
48%
27%
24%
Home win
48.4%
Draw
27.4%
Away win
24.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus | 48.4% | 2.07 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.4% | 3.65 | — | — |
| Napoli | 24.2% | 4.14 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.0% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.0% | 11.16 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 28.0% | 3.57 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 45.6% | 2.19 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 24.2% | 4.13 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.9% | 9.21 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.1% | 1.12 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.7% | 2.01 | — | — |
| No | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus / Draw | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Juventus / Napoli | 72.6% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Draw / Napoli | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.0
|
7.4
|
4.0
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
11.6
|
13.0
|
6.1
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.3
|
9.3
|
4.6
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
4.7
|
4.6
|
2.3
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.8
|
1.8
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Juventus
3-0
Napoli
Dec 2025
Napoli
2-1
Juventus
Jan 2025
Napoli
2-1
Juventus
Sep 2024
Juventus
0-0
Napoli
Mar 2024
Napoli
2-1
Juventus
Dec 2023
Juventus
1-0
Napoli
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.