Sunday 15 April 2018, 16:00
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza
Full time
23%
26%
51%
Home win
22.9%
Draw
25.9%
Away win
51.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan | 22.9% | 4.37 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.9% | 3.86 | — | — |
| Napoli | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.4% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.6% | 13.17 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 24.6% | 4.06 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 50.0% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 50.0% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 28.0% | 3.57 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 13.3% | 7.50 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 86.7% | 1.15 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52.5% | 1.90 | — | — |
| No | 47.5% | 2.11 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan / Draw | 48.8% | 2.05 | — | — |
| AC Milan / Napoli | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw / Napoli | 77.1% | 1.30 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.6
|
10.7
|
9.4
|
5.1
|
2.1
|
0.7
|
| 1 |
6.4
|
12.4
|
9.6
|
5.3
|
2.2
|
0.7
|
| 2 |
3.6
|
6.0
|
4.9
|
2.7
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
| 3 |
1.2
|
2.0
|
1.7
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.3
|
0.5
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Napoli
1-0
AC Milan
Sep 2025
AC Milan
2-1
Napoli
Mar 2025
Napoli
2-1
AC Milan
Oct 2024
AC Milan
0-2
Napoli
Feb 2024
AC Milan
1-0
Napoli
Oct 2023
Napoli
2-2
AC Milan
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.