Sunday 8 April 2018, 21:45
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza
Full time
60%
24%
16%
Home win
59.7%
Draw
23.9%
Away win
16.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan | 59.7% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.9% | 4.19 | — | — |
| Sassuolo | 16.4% | 6.09 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.4% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.6% | 13.16 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 75.1% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 24.9% | 4.02 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 49.8% | 2.01 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 27.8% | 3.59 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 72.2% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 13.2% | 7.58 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 86.8% | 1.15 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48.5% | 2.06 | — | — |
| No | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan / Draw | 83.6% | 1.20 | — | — |
| AC Milan / Sassuolo | 76.1% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / Sassuolo | 40.3% | 2.48 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.6
|
5.3
|
2.5
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
12.0
|
11.4
|
4.5
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.5
|
9.7
|
4.1
|
1.2
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
7.0
|
5.9
|
2.5
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.2
|
2.7
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.2
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Sassuolo
2-0
AC Milan
Dec 2025
AC Milan
2-2
Sassuolo
Apr 2024
Sassuolo
3-3
AC Milan
Dec 2023
AC Milan
1-0
Sassuolo
Jan 2023
AC Milan
2-5
Sassuolo
Aug 2022
Sassuolo
0-0
AC Milan
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.