Saturday 12 May 2018, 21:45
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza
Full time
71%
19%
10%
Home win
71.0%
Draw
19.0%
Away win
10.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter | 71.0% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Draw | 19.0% | 5.28 | — | — |
| Sassuolo | 10.1% | 9.94 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.0% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.0% | 16.69 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 79.1% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 20.9% | 4.79 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 44.5% | 2.25 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 33.1% | 3.02 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 66.9% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 16.9% | 5.92 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 83.1% | 1.20 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 45.6% | 2.19 | — | — |
| No | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter / Draw | 89.9% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Inter / Sassuolo | 81.0% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Draw / Sassuolo | 29.0% | 3.45 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.0
|
3.4
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
11.5
|
9.0
|
3.0
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
13.2
|
9.4
|
3.3
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
9.7
|
6.8
|
2.4
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
5.3
|
3.8
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.3
|
1.7
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Sassuolo
0-5
Inter
Sep 2025
Inter
2-1
Sassuolo
May 2024
Sassuolo
1-0
Inter
Sep 2023
Inter
1-2
Sassuolo
May 2023
Inter
4-2
Sassuolo
Oct 2022
Sassuolo
1-2
Inter
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.