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Sunday 29 April 2018, 13:30 Stadio Ezio Scida Full time
4–1
HT 3–1
37% 29% 33%
Home win
37.3%
Draw
29.3%
Away win
33.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Crotone 37.3% 2.68
Draw 29.3% 3.41
Sassuolo 33.3% 3.00

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.0% 1.11
Under 0.5 10.1% 9.95
Over 1.5 69.5% 1.44
Under 1.5 30.5% 3.28
Over 2.5 42.5% 2.35
Under 2.5 57.5% 1.74
Over 3.5 21.7% 4.61
Under 3.5 78.3% 1.28
Over 4.5 9.3% 10.72
Under 4.5 90.7% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 49.1% 2.04
No 50.9% 1.97

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Crotone / Draw 66.7% 1.50
Crotone / Sassuolo 70.7% 1.42
Draw / Sassuolo 62.7% 1.60

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.1
9.9
6.1
2.3
0.7
0.2
1
10.6
13.9
7.5
2.9
0.8
0.2
2
7.0
8.1
4.6
1.8
0.5
0.1
3
2.9
3.3
1.9
0.7
0.2
0.0
4
0.9
1.0
0.6
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.2
0.3
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Crotone goals. Columns: Sassuolo goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.