Sunday 6 May 2018, 16:00
Stadio Olimpico
Full time
48%
24%
28%
Home win
48.3%
Draw
24.1%
Away win
27.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio | 48.3% | 2.07 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.1% | 4.15 | — | — |
| Atalanta | 27.6% | 3.62 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.2% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.8% | 20.70 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 83.1% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 16.9% | 5.91 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 61.3% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 38.7% | 2.59 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 39.0% | 2.56 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 61.0% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 21.4% | 4.68 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 78.6% | 1.27 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 62.6% | 1.60 | — | — |
| No | 37.4% | 2.67 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio / Draw | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Lazio / Atalanta | 75.9% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw / Atalanta | 51.7% | 1.93 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.8
|
5.0
|
3.8
|
1.7
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
7.1
|
10.9
|
6.9
|
3.1
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
7.0
|
9.4
|
6.3
|
2.8
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
4.3
|
5.7
|
3.8
|
1.7
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
2.0
|
2.6
|
1.8
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.7
|
1.0
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Lazio
0-2
Atalanta
Oct 2025
Atalanta
0-0
Lazio
Apr 2025
Atalanta
0-1
Lazio
Dec 2024
Lazio
1-1
Atalanta
Feb 2024
Atalanta
3-1
Lazio
Oct 2023
Lazio
3-2
Atalanta
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.