Skip to content
Sunday 22 April 2018, 16:00 Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia Full time
2–1
HT 0–0
52% 25% 23%
Home win
52.1%
Draw
24.8%
Away win
23.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Atalanta 52.1% 1.92
Draw 24.8% 4.03
Torino 23.1% 4.34

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.6% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.4% 15.62
Over 1.5 78.5% 1.27
Under 1.5 21.5% 4.66
Over 2.5 54.4% 1.84
Under 2.5 45.6% 2.19
Over 3.5 32.1% 3.11
Under 3.5 67.9% 1.47
Over 4.5 16.2% 6.19
Under 4.5 83.8% 1.19

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 55.9% 1.79
No 44.1% 2.27

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Atalanta / Draw 76.9% 1.30
Atalanta / Torino 75.2% 1.33
Draw / Torino 47.9% 2.09

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.4
5.6
3.5
1.3
0.4
0.1
1
9.4
11.8
6.1
2.2
0.6
0.1
2
8.9
9.8
5.4
2.0
0.5
0.1
3
5.2
5.7
3.1
1.2
0.3
0.1
4
2.3
2.5
1.4
0.5
0.1
0.0
5
0.8
0.9
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Atalanta goals. Columns: Torino goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.