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Wednesday 18 April 2018, 21:45 Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino Full time
1–1
HT 0–1
39% 27% 34%
Home win
39.5%
Draw
26.8%
Away win
33.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Torino 39.5% 2.53
Draw 26.8% 3.73
AC Milan 33.7% 2.97

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.0% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.0% 14.31
Over 1.5 77.1% 1.30
Under 1.5 22.9% 4.36
Over 2.5 52.3% 1.91
Under 2.5 47.7% 2.10
Over 3.5 30.1% 3.32
Under 3.5 69.9% 1.43
Over 4.5 14.8% 6.78
Under 4.5 85.2% 1.17

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 56.8% 1.76
No 43.2% 2.32

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Torino / Draw 66.3% 1.51
Torino / AC Milan 73.2% 1.37
Draw / AC Milan 60.5% 1.65

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.0
7.6
5.5
2.4
0.8
0.2
1
8.4
12.7
7.9
3.5
1.2
0.3
2
6.6
8.7
5.7
2.5
0.8
0.2
3
3.2
4.2
2.8
1.2
0.4
0.1
4
1.1
1.5
1.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
0.3
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Torino goals. Columns: AC Milan goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.