Sunday 29 April 2018, 16:00
Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia
Full time
58%
27%
15%
Home win
58.1%
Draw
26.8%
Away win
15.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta | 58.1% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.8% | 3.73 | — | — |
| Genoa | 15.1% | 6.64 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.3% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.7% | 8.53 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 65.3% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 34.7% | 2.88 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 37.8% | 2.65 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 62.2% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 18.1% | 5.52 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 81.9% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.3% | 13.75 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.7% | 1.08 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 38.6% | 2.59 | — | — |
| No | 61.4% | 1.63 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta / Draw | 84.9% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Atalanta / Genoa | 73.2% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw / Genoa | 41.9% | 2.39 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.7
|
6.6
|
2.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
16.4
|
11.9
|
3.7
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
13.2
|
8.7
|
2.9
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
6.8
|
4.5
|
1.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.6
|
1.7
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.8
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Atalanta
0-0
Genoa
Dec 2025
Genoa
0-1
Atalanta
May 2025
Genoa
2-3
Atalanta
Oct 2024
Atalanta
5-1
Genoa
Feb 2024
Genoa
1-4
Atalanta
Oct 2023
Atalanta
2-0
Genoa
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.