Monday 23 April 2018, 21:45
Luigi Ferraris
Full time
52%
30%
19%
Home win
51.6%
Draw
29.8%
Away win
18.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.8% | 3.36 | — | — |
| Hellas Verona | 18.6% | 5.37 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86.3% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 13.7% | 7.30 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 61.3% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 38.7% | 2.58 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 33.5% | 2.99 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 66.5% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 15.1% | 6.64 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 84.9% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.7% | 17.68 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 94.3% | 1.06 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 37.9% | 2.64 | — | — |
| No | 62.1% | 1.61 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa / Draw | 81.4% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Genoa / Hellas Verona | 70.2% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Draw / Hellas Verona | 48.4% | 2.07 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
13.7
|
8.3
|
3.2
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
16.7
|
12.9
|
4.2
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.7
|
8.2
|
2.9
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
5.3
|
3.7
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.8
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Hellas Verona
0-2
Genoa
Nov 2025
Genoa
2-1
Hellas Verona
Apr 2025
Hellas Verona
0-0
Genoa
Sep 2024
Genoa
0-2
Hellas Verona
Apr 2024
Hellas Verona
1-2
Genoa
Nov 2023
Genoa
1-0
Hellas Verona
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.