Sunday 13 May 2018, 16:00
Stadio Ezio Scida
Full time
17%
21%
62%
Home win
17.3%
Draw
20.8%
Away win
61.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crotone | 17.3% | 5.78 | — | — |
| Draw | 20.8% | 4.81 | — | — |
| Lazio | 61.9% | 1.62 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.7% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.3% | 23.35 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 84.5% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 15.5% | 6.45 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 63.8% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 36.2% | 2.76 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 41.6% | 2.40 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 23.5% | 4.26 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 76.5% | 1.31 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
| No | 40.5% | 2.47 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crotone / Draw | 38.1% | 2.62 | — | — |
| Crotone / Lazio | 79.2% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Draw / Lazio | 82.7% | 1.21 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.3
|
7.7
|
9.0
|
6.6
|
3.6
|
1.6
|
| 1 |
3.5
|
9.5
|
9.8
|
7.2
|
3.9
|
1.7
|
| 2 |
2.2
|
4.9
|
5.4
|
3.9
|
2.2
|
0.9
|
| 3 |
0.8
|
1.8
|
1.9
|
1.4
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.5
|
0.5
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2021
Lazio
3-2
Crotone
Nov 2020
Crotone
0-2
Lazio
Dec 2017
Lazio
4-0
Crotone
May 2017
Crotone
3-1
Lazio
Jan 2017
Lazio
1-0
Crotone
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.