Sunday 29 April 2018, 19:00
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Full time
21%
24%
55%
Home win
20.8%
Draw
24.5%
Away win
54.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina | 20.8% | 4.80 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.5% | 4.09 | — | — |
| Napoli | 54.7% | 1.83 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.4% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.6% | 15.10 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 77.9% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 22.1% | 4.52 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 53.5% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 46.5% | 2.15 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 31.2% | 3.20 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 68.8% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 15.5% | 6.44 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.5% | 1.18 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
| No | 45.9% | 2.18 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina / Draw | 45.3% | 2.21 | — | — |
| Fiorentina / Napoli | 75.5% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw / Napoli | 79.2% | 1.26 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.6
|
10.0
|
9.6
|
5.7
|
2.6
|
0.9
|
| 1 |
5.5
|
11.6
|
9.8
|
5.9
|
2.6
|
0.9
|
| 2 |
3.1
|
5.6
|
5.1
|
3.0
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
| 3 |
1.1
|
1.9
|
1.7
|
1.0
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.3
|
0.5
|
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Napoli
2-1
Fiorentina
Sep 2025
Fiorentina
1-3
Napoli
Mar 2025
Napoli
2-1
Fiorentina
Jan 2025
Fiorentina
0-3
Napoli
May 2024
Fiorentina
2-2
Napoli
Oct 2023
Napoli
1-3
Fiorentina
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.