Saturday 25 August 2018, 21:30
Stadio San Paolo
Full time
61%
23%
16%
Home win
60.8%
Draw
23.0%
Away win
16.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli | 60.8% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.0% | 4.34 | — | — |
| AC Milan | 16.1% | 6.20 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.2% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.8% | 14.60 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 77.1% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 22.9% | 4.37 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 52.5% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 47.5% | 2.10 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 30.3% | 3.30 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 69.7% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.9% | 6.73 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.1% | 1.17 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
| No | 49.8% | 2.01 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli / Draw | 83.9% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Napoli / AC Milan | 77.0% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Draw / AC Milan | 39.2% | 2.55 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.8
|
4.8
|
2.4
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
11.2
|
11.0
|
4.5
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
11.2
|
9.8
|
4.3
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
7.1
|
6.2
|
2.7
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.4
|
3.0
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.3
|
1.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Napoli
1-0
AC Milan
Sep 2025
AC Milan
2-1
Napoli
Mar 2025
Napoli
2-1
AC Milan
Oct 2024
AC Milan
0-2
Napoli
Feb 2024
AC Milan
1-0
Napoli
Oct 2023
Napoli
2-2
AC Milan
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.