Saturday 5 May 2018, 19:00
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza
Full time
71%
19%
9%
Home win
71.4%
Draw
19.3%
Away win
9.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Draw | 19.3% | 5.18 | — | — |
| Hellas Verona | 9.3% | 10.71 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.1% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.9% | 14.56 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.6% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.4% | 4.28 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 48.0% | 2.08 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 29.8% | 3.35 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 70.2% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.6% | 6.87 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.4% | 1.17 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 41.9% | 2.39 | — | — |
| No | 58.1% | 1.72 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan / Draw | 90.7% | 1.10 | — | — |
| AC Milan / Hellas Verona | 80.7% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Draw / Hellas Verona | 28.6% | 3.49 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.9
|
3.5
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
13.0
|
9.1
|
2.7
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
14.3
|
9.1
|
2.9
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
10.1
|
6.4
|
2.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
5.4
|
3.4
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.3
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Hellas Verona
0-1
AC Milan
Dec 2025
AC Milan
3-0
Hellas Verona
Feb 2025
AC Milan
1-0
Hellas Verona
Dec 2024
Hellas Verona
0-1
AC Milan
Mar 2024
Hellas Verona
1-3
AC Milan
Sep 2023
AC Milan
1-0
Hellas Verona
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.