Sunday 29 April 2018, 16:00
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Full time
29%
31%
40%
Home win
29.2%
Draw
30.5%
Away win
40.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bologna | 29.2% | 3.42 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.5% | 3.28 | — | — |
| AC Milan | 40.2% | 2.49 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.1% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.9% | 8.39 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 65.2% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 34.8% | 2.88 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 37.6% | 2.66 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 62.4% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 18.0% | 5.56 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 82.0% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.2% | 13.87 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.8% | 1.08 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 44.8% | 2.23 | — | — |
| No | 55.2% | 1.81 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bologna / Draw | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Bologna / AC Milan | 69.5% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Draw / AC Milan | 70.8% | 1.41 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.9
|
12.6
|
8.1
|
3.3
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
10.2
|
14.1
|
8.0
|
3.2
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
5.4
|
6.6
|
4.0
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
1.8
|
2.2
|
1.3
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.4
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Bologna
0-3
AC Milan
Sep 2025
AC Milan
1-0
Bologna
May 2025
AC Milan
3-1
Bologna
Feb 2025
Bologna
2-1
AC Milan
Jan 2024
AC Milan
2-2
Bologna
Aug 2023
Bologna
0-2
AC Milan
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.