Sunday 13 May 2018, 19:00
Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia
Full time
47%
28%
25%
Home win
47.0%
Draw
28.4%
Away win
24.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta | 47.0% | 2.13 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.4% | 3.52 | — | — |
| AC Milan | 24.6% | 4.07 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.9% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.1% | 9.94 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 69.4% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 30.6% | 3.26 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 42.4% | 2.36 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 21.6% | 4.63 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 78.4% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.3% | 10.78 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.7% | 1.10 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 47.4% | 2.11 | — | — |
| No | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta / Draw | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Atalanta / AC Milan | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Draw / AC Milan | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.1
|
8.1
|
4.2
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
12.5
|
13.4
|
6.0
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.4
|
9.0
|
4.3
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
4.4
|
4.2
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.6
|
1.5
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
AC Milan
2-3
Atalanta
Oct 2025
Atalanta
1-1
AC Milan
Apr 2025
AC Milan
0-1
Atalanta
Dec 2024
Atalanta
2-1
AC Milan
Feb 2024
AC Milan
1-1
Atalanta
Dec 2023
Atalanta
3-2
AC Milan
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.