Wednesday 19 September 2018, 20:00
Luigi Ferraris
Full time
38%
26%
36%
Home win
38.0%
Draw
25.7%
Away win
36.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria | 38.0% | 2.63 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.7% | 3.89 | — | — |
| Fiorentina | 36.3% | 2.75 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.3% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.7% | 17.47 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 80.5% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 19.5% | 5.14 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 42.6% | 2.35 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 35.0% | 2.86 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 65.0% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 18.2% | 5.48 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 81.8% | 1.22 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 60.8% | 1.65 | — | — |
| No | 39.2% | 2.55 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria / Draw | 63.7% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Sampdoria / Fiorentina | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw / Fiorentina | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.7
|
6.8
|
5.5
|
2.7
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
7.0
|
11.9
|
8.3
|
4.1
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
| 2 |
5.8
|
8.5
|
6.3
|
3.1
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
2.9
|
4.3
|
3.2
|
1.6
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
1.1
|
1.6
|
1.2
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.5
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2023
Fiorentina
5-0
Sampdoria
Nov 2022
Sampdoria
0-2
Fiorentina
May 2022
Sampdoria
4-1
Fiorentina
Nov 2021
Fiorentina
3-1
Sampdoria
Feb 2021
Sampdoria
2-1
Fiorentina
Oct 2020
Fiorentina
1-2
Sampdoria
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.