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Sunday 2 September 2018, 19:00 Stadio Artemio Franchi Full time
1–0
HT 0–0
57% 23% 20%
Home win
57.2%
Draw
22.9%
Away win
19.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Fiorentina 57.2% 1.75
Draw 22.9% 4.36
Udinese 19.8% 5.04

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.6% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.4% 18.53
Over 1.5 81.3% 1.23
Under 1.5 18.7% 5.34
Over 2.5 58.5% 1.71
Under 2.5 41.5% 2.41
Over 3.5 36.1% 2.77
Under 3.5 63.9% 1.57
Over 4.5 19.1% 5.23
Under 4.5 80.9% 1.24

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 57.3% 1.74
No 42.7% 2.34

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Fiorentina / Draw 80.2% 1.25
Fiorentina / Udinese 77.1% 1.30
Draw / Udinese 42.8% 2.34

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.4
4.6
2.8
1.0
0.3
0.1
1
8.8
10.7
5.5
2.0
0.5
0.1
2
9.2
9.9
5.4
1.9
0.5
0.1
3
6.0
6.5
3.5
1.3
0.3
0.1
4
2.9
3.2
1.7
0.6
0.2
0.0
5
1.2
1.2
0.7
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Fiorentina goals. Columns: Udinese goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.