Sunday 13 May 2018, 16:00
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Full time
65%
21%
14%
Home win
65.1%
Draw
20.5%
Away win
14.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina | 65.1% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Draw | 20.5% | 4.87 | — | — |
| Cagliari | 14.3% | 6.98 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.8% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.2% | 19.29 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 81.7% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 18.3% | 5.46 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 59.3% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 40.7% | 2.46 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 36.9% | 2.71 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 63.1% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 19.7% | 5.08 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 80.3% | 1.25 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 53.6% | 1.86 | — | — |
| No | 46.4% | 2.16 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina / Draw | 85.7% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Fiorentina / Cagliari | 79.5% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Draw / Cagliari | 34.9% | 2.87 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.2
|
3.7
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
9.4
|
9.7
|
4.2
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
10.8
|
9.9
|
4.5
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
7.7
|
7.1
|
3.2
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
4.2
|
3.8
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.8
|
1.6
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Fiorentina
1-2
Cagliari
Aug 2025
Cagliari
1-1
Fiorentina
Apr 2025
Cagliari
1-2
Fiorentina
Dec 2024
Fiorentina
1-0
Cagliari
May 2024
Cagliari
2-3
Fiorentina
Oct 2023
Fiorentina
3-0
Cagliari
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.