Saturday 22 September 2018, 21:30
Luigi Ferraris
Full time
28%
26%
47%
Home win
27.6%
Draw
25.9%
Away win
46.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria | 27.6% | 3.62 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.9% | 3.87 | — | — |
| Inter | 46.5% | 2.15 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.4% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.6% | 15.23 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 78.2% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 21.8% | 4.58 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 53.9% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 46.1% | 2.17 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 31.6% | 3.17 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 68.4% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 15.8% | 6.34 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.2% | 1.19 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 57.0% | 1.75 | — | — |
| No | 43.0% | 2.33 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria / Draw | 53.5% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Sampdoria / Inter | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw / Inter | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.6
|
8.9
|
7.8
|
4.2
|
1.7
|
0.6
|
| 1 |
6.4
|
12.2
|
9.4
|
5.1
|
2.1
|
0.7
|
| 2 |
4.3
|
7.0
|
5.7
|
3.1
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
| 3 |
1.7
|
2.8
|
2.3
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.5
|
0.8
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2023
Sampdoria
0-0
Inter
Oct 2022
Inter
3-0
Sampdoria
May 2022
Inter
3-0
Sampdoria
Sep 2021
Sampdoria
2-2
Inter
May 2021
Inter
5-1
Sampdoria
Jan 2021
Sampdoria
2-1
Inter
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.