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Sunday 26 August 2018, 21:30 San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza Full time
2–2
HT 2–0
57% 23% 20%
Home win
57.2%
Draw
23.2%
Away win
19.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Inter 57.2% 1.75
Draw 23.2% 4.30
Torino 19.6% 5.11

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.2% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.8% 17.25
Over 1.5 80.1% 1.25
Under 1.5 19.9% 5.03
Over 2.5 56.8% 1.76
Under 2.5 43.2% 2.32
Over 3.5 34.4% 2.91
Under 3.5 65.6% 1.52
Over 4.5 17.8% 5.61
Under 4.5 82.2% 1.22

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 55.9% 1.79
No 44.1% 2.27

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Inter / Draw 80.4% 1.24
Inter / Torino 76.8% 1.30
Draw / Torino 42.8% 2.34

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.8
4.8
2.8
1.0
0.3
0.1
1
9.3
11.0
5.4
1.9
0.5
0.1
2
9.5
9.9
5.2
1.8
0.5
0.1
3
6.1
6.4
3.3
1.2
0.3
0.1
4
2.9
3.0
1.6
0.6
0.1
0.0
5
1.1
1.2
0.6
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Inter goals. Columns: Torino goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.