Skip to content
Sunday 20 May 2018, 16:00 Luigi Ferraris Full time
1–2
HT 0–1
29% 29% 42%
Home win
28.9%
Draw
28.9%
Away win
42.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Genoa 28.9% 3.46
Draw 28.9% 3.46
Torino 42.2% 2.37

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.1% 1.11
Under 0.5 9.9% 10.15
Over 1.5 69.9% 1.43
Under 1.5 30.1% 3.32
Over 2.5 43.0% 2.32
Under 2.5 57.0% 1.75
Over 3.5 22.1% 4.52
Under 3.5 77.9% 1.28
Over 4.5 9.6% 10.44
Under 4.5 90.4% 1.11

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 49.0% 2.04
No 51.0% 1.96

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Genoa / Draw 57.8% 1.73
Genoa / Torino 71.1% 1.41
Draw / Torino 71.1% 1.41

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.9
11.4
8.1
3.6
1.2
0.3
1
8.9
13.7
8.6
3.8
1.3
0.3
2
5.1
6.8
4.6
2.0
0.7
0.2
3
1.8
2.4
1.6
0.7
0.2
0.1
4
0.5
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Genoa goals. Columns: Torino goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.