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Sunday 19 August 2018, 21:30 Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore Full time
1–0
HT 1–0
19% 25% 57%
Home win
18.7%
Draw
24.7%
Away win
56.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sassuolo 18.7% 5.34
Draw 24.7% 4.04
Inter 56.5% 1.77

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.4% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.6% 13.12
Over 1.5 75.2% 1.33
Under 1.5 24.8% 4.03
Over 2.5 49.8% 2.01
Under 2.5 50.2% 1.99
Over 3.5 27.8% 3.59
Under 3.5 72.2% 1.39
Over 4.5 13.2% 7.57
Under 4.5 86.8% 1.15

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 50.2% 1.99
No 49.8% 2.01

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sassuolo / Draw 43.5% 2.30
Sassuolo / Inter 75.3% 1.33
Draw / Inter 81.3% 1.23

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.6
11.5
10.7
6.2
2.7
1.0
1
5.7
11.8
9.8
5.7
2.5
0.9
2
2.9
5.1
4.5
2.6
1.1
0.4
3
0.9
1.5
1.4
0.8
0.3
0.1
4
0.2
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Sassuolo goals. Columns: Inter goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.