Saturday 15 September 2018, 16:00
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza
Full time
68%
20%
12%
Home win
68.5%
Draw
19.6%
Away win
11.9%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter | 68.5% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Draw | 19.6% | 5.09 | — | — |
| Parma | 11.9% | 8.42 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.5% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.5% | 18.04 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 80.5% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 19.5% | 5.13 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 42.5% | 2.35 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 35.1% | 2.85 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 64.9% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 18.4% | 5.45 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 81.6% | 1.22 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.6% | 2.02 | — | — |
| No | 50.4% | 1.98 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter / Draw | 88.1% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Inter / Parma | 80.4% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Draw / Parma | 31.5% | 3.17 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.5
|
3.5
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
10.4
|
9.4
|
3.5
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.0
|
9.7
|
3.9
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
8.8
|
7.0
|
2.8
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
4.8
|
3.9
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.1
|
1.7
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Inter
2-0
Parma
Jan 2026
Parma
0-2
Inter
Apr 2025
Parma
2-2
Inter
Dec 2024
Inter
3-1
Parma
Mar 2021
Parma
1-2
Inter
Oct 2020
Inter
2-2
Parma
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.