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Saturday 1 September 2018, 21:30 Ennio Tardini Full time
1–2
HT 1–1
10% 20% 70%
Home win
10.4%
Draw
19.8%
Away win
69.8%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Parma 10.4% 9.65
Draw 19.8% 5.05
Juventus 69.8% 1.43

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.4% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.6% 15.07
Over 1.5 77.4% 1.29
Under 1.5 22.6% 4.42
Over 2.5 53.0% 1.89
Under 2.5 47.0% 2.13
Over 3.5 30.7% 3.26
Under 3.5 69.3% 1.44
Over 4.5 15.2% 6.59
Under 4.5 84.8% 1.18

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 44.2% 2.26
No 55.8% 1.79

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Parma / Draw 30.2% 3.32
Parma / Juventus 80.2% 1.25
Draw / Juventus 89.6% 1.12

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.6
12.3
13.6
9.5
5.0
2.1
1
3.7
9.4
9.3
6.6
3.5
1.5
2
1.4
3.0
3.2
2.3
1.2
0.5
3
0.3
0.7
0.7
0.5
0.3
0.1
4
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Parma goals. Columns: Juventus goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.