Sunday 26 August 2018, 19:00
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Full time
42%
27%
32%
Home win
41.7%
Draw
26.7%
Away win
31.7%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spal | 41.7% | 2.40 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.7% | 3.75 | — | — |
| Parma | 31.7% | 3.16 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.1% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.9% | 14.40 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 77.2% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 22.8% | 4.39 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 52.5% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 47.5% | 2.10 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 30.3% | 3.30 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 69.7% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.9% | 6.73 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.1% | 1.17 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 56.7% | 1.76 | — | — |
| No | 43.3% | 2.31 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spal / Draw | 68.3% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Spal / Parma | 73.3% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / Parma | 58.3% | 1.71 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.9
|
7.2
|
5.1
|
2.2
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
8.6
|
12.6
|
7.6
|
3.2
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
7.0
|
8.9
|
5.7
|
2.4
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
3.5
|
4.5
|
2.9
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.3
|
1.7
|
1.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.