Sunday 16 September 2018, 21:30
Sardegna Arena
Full time
23%
26%
51%
Home win
23.0%
Draw
26.0%
Away win
50.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari | 23.0% | 4.34 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.0% | 3.84 | — | — |
| AC Milan | 50.9% | 1.96 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.3% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.7% | 13.05 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 24.8% | 4.03 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 49.8% | 2.01 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 27.8% | 3.60 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 72.2% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 13.2% | 7.58 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 86.8% | 1.15 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
| No | 47.6% | 2.10 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari / Draw | 49.1% | 2.04 | — | — |
| Cagliari / AC Milan | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw / AC Milan | 77.0% | 1.30 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.7
|
10.7
|
9.3
|
5.1
|
2.1
|
0.7
|
| 1 |
6.4
|
12.4
|
9.6
|
5.2
|
2.1
|
0.7
|
| 2 |
3.7
|
6.0
|
4.9
|
2.7
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
| 3 |
1.3
|
2.1
|
1.7
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.3
|
0.5
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
AC Milan
1-2
Cagliari
Jan 2026
Cagliari
0-1
AC Milan
Jan 2025
AC Milan
1-1
Cagliari
Nov 2024
Cagliari
3-3
AC Milan
May 2024
AC Milan
5-1
Cagliari
Sep 2023
Cagliari
1-3
AC Milan
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.