Sunday 20 May 2018, 19:00
Sardegna Arena
Full time
19%
25%
56%
Home win
19.3%
Draw
24.9%
Away win
55.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari | 19.3% | 5.17 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.9% | 4.01 | — | — |
| Atalanta | 55.7% | 1.79 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.4% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.6% | 13.20 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 24.7% | 4.05 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 50.0% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 50.0% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 28.0% | 3.57 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 13.3% | 7.51 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 86.7% | 1.15 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
| No | 49.3% | 2.03 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari / Draw | 44.3% | 2.26 | — | — |
| Cagliari / Atalanta | 75.1% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw / Atalanta | 80.7% | 1.24 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.6
|
11.3
|
10.5
|
6.1
|
2.6
|
0.9
|
| 1 |
5.8
|
11.9
|
9.8
|
5.7
|
2.5
|
0.9
|
| 2 |
3.0
|
5.2
|
4.5
|
2.6
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
| 3 |
0.9
|
1.6
|
1.4
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Cagliari
3-2
Atalanta
Dec 2025
Atalanta
2-1
Cagliari
Feb 2025
Atalanta
0-0
Cagliari
Dec 2024
Cagliari
0-1
Atalanta
Apr 2024
Cagliari
2-1
Atalanta
Sep 2023
Atalanta
2-0
Cagliari
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.