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Sunday 19 August 2018, 21:30 Carlo Castellani Full time
2–0
HT 1–0
38% 29% 33%
Home win
37.7%
Draw
29.4%
Away win
32.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Empoli 37.7% 2.65
Draw 29.4% 3.40
Cagliari 32.9% 3.04

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.9% 1.11
Under 0.5 10.1% 9.86
Over 1.5 69.3% 1.44
Under 1.5 30.7% 3.25
Over 2.5 42.2% 2.37
Under 2.5 57.8% 1.73
Over 3.5 21.5% 4.65
Under 3.5 78.5% 1.27
Over 4.5 9.2% 10.86
Under 4.5 90.8% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 48.9% 2.04
No 51.1% 1.96

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Empoli / Draw 67.1% 1.49
Empoli / Cagliari 70.6% 1.42
Draw / Cagliari 62.3% 1.60

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.1
9.8
6.0
2.3
0.6
0.1
1
10.8
13.9
7.4
2.8
0.8
0.2
2
7.1
8.1
4.6
1.7
0.5
0.1
3
2.9
3.3
1.9
0.7
0.2
0.0
4
0.9
1.0
0.6
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.2
0.3
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Empoli goals. Columns: Cagliari goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.