Sunday 19 August 2018, 21:30
Carlo Castellani
Full time
38%
29%
33%
Home win
37.7%
Draw
29.4%
Away win
32.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli | 37.7% | 2.65 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.4% | 3.40 | — | — |
| Cagliari | 32.9% | 3.04 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.9% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.1% | 9.86 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 69.3% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 30.7% | 3.25 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 42.2% | 2.37 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 21.5% | 4.65 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 78.5% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.2% | 10.86 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.8% | 1.10 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48.9% | 2.04 | — | — |
| No | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli / Draw | 67.1% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Empoli / Cagliari | 70.6% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Draw / Cagliari | 62.3% | 1.60 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.1
|
9.8
|
6.0
|
2.3
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
10.8
|
13.9
|
7.4
|
2.8
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.1
|
8.1
|
4.6
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
2.9
|
3.3
|
1.9
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.9
|
1.0
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2025
Empoli
0-0
Cagliari
Sep 2024
Cagliari
0-2
Empoli
Mar 2024
Empoli
0-1
Cagliari
Dec 2023
Cagliari
0-0
Empoli
Feb 2022
Empoli
1-1
Cagliari
Sep 2021
Cagliari
0-2
Empoli
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.