Sunday 7 May 2017, 16:00
Carlo Castellani
Full time
29%
33%
38%
Home win
29.2%
Draw
33.2%
Away win
37.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli | 29.2% | 3.43 | — | — |
| Draw | 33.2% | 3.01 | — | — |
| Bologna | 37.6% | 2.66 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 84.4% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 15.6% | 6.41 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 42.3% | 2.37 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 29.9% | 3.34 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 70.1% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 12.7% | 7.87 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 87.3% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.5% | 22.24 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 95.5% | 1.05 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 38.4% | 2.60 | — | — |
| No | 61.6% | 1.62 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli / Draw | 62.4% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Empoli / Bologna | 66.8% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Draw / Bologna | 70.8% | 1.41 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
15.6
|
14.5
|
7.9
|
2.7
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
12.2
|
14.2
|
6.9
|
2.4
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
5.7
|
5.9
|
3.0
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
1.7
|
1.7
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2025
Empoli
1-1
Bologna
Aug 2024
Bologna
1-1
Empoli
Mar 2024
Empoli
0-1
Bologna
Oct 2023
Bologna
3-0
Empoli
May 2023
Empoli
3-1
Bologna
Sep 2022
Bologna
0-1
Empoli
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.