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Saturday 15 April 2017, 16:00 Renzo Barbera Full time
0–0
HT 0–0
30% 30% 40%
Home win
30.2%
Draw
29.9%
Away win
39.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Palermo 30.2% 3.31
Draw 29.9% 3.35
Bologna 39.9% 2.51

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.1% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.9% 9.15
Over 1.5 67.5% 1.48
Under 1.5 32.5% 3.07
Over 2.5 40.1% 2.49
Under 2.5 59.9% 1.67
Over 3.5 19.9% 5.04
Under 3.5 80.1% 1.25
Over 4.5 8.3% 12.12
Under 4.5 91.7% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 47.0% 2.13
No 53.0% 1.89

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Palermo / Draw 60.1% 1.66
Palermo / Bologna 70.1% 1.43
Draw / Bologna 69.8% 1.43

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.9
11.8
7.8
3.2
1.0
0.3
1
9.8
14.0
8.2
3.4
1.1
0.3
2
5.6
6.9
4.3
1.8
0.6
0.1
3
1.9
2.4
1.5
0.6
0.2
0.0
4
0.5
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Palermo goals. Columns: Bologna goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.